Superspreading k-cores at the center of COVID-19 pandemic persistence

ORAL

Abstract

The spread of COVID-19 caused by the recently discovered SARS-CoV-2 virus has become a worldwide problem with devastating consequences. To slow down the spread of the pandemic, mass quarantines have been implemented globally, provoking further social and economic disruptions. Here, we implement a comprehensive contact tracing network analysis to find the optimal quarantine protocol to dismantle the chain of transmission of coronavirus with minimal disruptions to society. Our analysis indicates that superspreading k-core structures persist in the transmission network to prolong the pandemic. Once the k-cores are identified, the optimal strategy to break the chain of transmission is to quarantine a minimal number of 'weak links' with high betweenness centrality connecting the large k-cores.

*SDSR and JSA thank the Brazilian agencies, National Institute of Science and Technology for Complex Systems, CAPES, FUNCAP, and CNPq for financial support. MS acknowledges support from SoBigData++ (EC grant number 871042)

Presenters

  • matteo serafino

    • Networks, IMT Lucca
    • IMT Alti Studi Lucca

Authors

  • matteo serafino

    • Networks, IMT Lucca
    • IMT Alti Studi Lucca
  • Higor S. Monteiro

    • Departamento de Fisica,, Universidade Federal do Ceara
  • Shaojun Luo

    • Levich Institute and Physics Department, City College of New York
  • Saulo D. S. Reis

    • Departamento de Fisica,, Universidade Federal do Ceara
  • Carles Igual

    • Departamento de Comunicaciones, Universitat Politecnica de Valencia
  • Antonio S. Lima Neto

    • epartment of Epidemiological Surveillance, Fortaleza Health Secretariat
  • Matias Travizan

    • Grandata, Inc,
  • Jose Soares De Andrade Jr

    • Departamento de Fisica,, Universidade Federal do Ceara
  • Hernan A Makse

    • Levich Institute and Physics Department, City College of New York