Superspreading k-cores at the center of COVID-19 pandemic persistence
ORAL
Abstract
The spread of COVID-19 caused by the recently discovered SARS-CoV-2 virus has become a worldwide problem with devastating consequences. To slow down the spread of the pandemic, mass quarantines have been implemented globally, provoking further social and economic disruptions. Here, we implement a comprehensive contact tracing network analysis to find the optimal quarantine protocol to dismantle the chain of transmission of coronavirus with minimal disruptions to society. Our analysis indicates that superspreading k-core structures persist in the transmission network to prolong the pandemic. Once the k-cores are identified, the optimal strategy to break the chain of transmission is to quarantine a minimal number of 'weak links' with high betweenness centrality connecting the large k-cores.
*SDSR and JSA thank the Brazilian agencies, National Institute of Science and Technology for Complex Systems, CAPES, FUNCAP, and CNPq for financial support. MS acknowledges support from SoBigData++ (EC grant number 871042)
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Presenters
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matteo serafino
- Networks, IMT Lucca
- IMT Alti Studi Lucca